NYMEX Hedging Updates & New Micro Futures

As we noted in our May energy hedging Q&A, the NYMEX (CME) has been working on the transition process whereby the benchmark distillate (disel fuel, jet fuel, kerosene, etc.) fuel hedging and trading product will be transitioning away heating oil to an ultra low sulfur product, specifically New York Harbor ultra low sulfur diesel (USLD).  As of last Wednesday, one of the final boxes appears to have been ticked as the exchange announced that the last month the heating oil contract will be listed is April 2013.  It was previously January 2013 but after hearing from numerous market participants (our shop being one of the more vocal participants) that forcing the transition during the middle of winter was not a good idea, the reason being that distillate futures, swaps and options (including heating oil futures) often trade in seasonal (winter, summer, etc.) strips.  So what does this mean as it relates to fuel hedging and trading?  Essentially, if you are looking to take a position beyond the April 2013 contract month (and probably several months earlier as liquidity in the final months is likely to be low), you'll need to consider that New York Harbor ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) futures are going to be the new benchmark and act accordingly. Here is the link to the official NYMEX announcement (Special Executive Report 5854).

In somewhat related news, the NYMEX announced Friday (Special Executive Report 5857) that it is rolling out Micro WTI and Brent crude oil futures contracts.  So what's a micro contract?  One barrel.  Yes, one barrel, as opposed to the normal contract volume of 1,000 barrels.  We can think of several reasons the exchange would want to roll out a one barrel contract but there are two that make the most sense and happen to be related...

  1. Market participants need to ability to hedge/trade in less than one thousand barrel increments.  Using these new contracts, if you need to hedge 862 barrels you buy or sell 862 micro contracts, rather than buying or selling one full contract and being long or short 138 barrels.
  2. As Dodd-Frank will move more and more volume from OTC bi-lateral markets to exchange cleared markets, the CME/NYMEX saw an opportunity for themselves (as well as their customers).  That is to say, given that crude oil often trades OTC (over the counter) in non-thousand barrel increments, the exchange knew that they need to offer traders the ability to trade and clear a non-thousand barrel contract in order to facilitate these deals, not to mention having the ability to tell the folks in Washington that they are providing the industry with the ability to clear odd-lot trades.  To put the liquidity of other "odd-lot" contracts into perspective, the emini crude oil futures contract (500 BBLs/contract) currently has about 5,000 contracts of open interest across all listed months, while the full WTI contract (1,000 BBLs/contract) currently has approximately 1,500,000 million contracts of open interest.  The real question is whether or not these contracts will attract liquidity. 

While these are the only "micro" contracts that have been annouced thus far, we expect that there will be more to come should these prove successful and/or should the CME/NYMEX see this as an opportunity to gain market share via Dodd-Frank.